Halloween for example, let's do math with some assumptions for finding an average: However what you're proposing is not the probability for the daily you want to appear but how likely it is you get it. Besides that it's practically impossible to hand out every desired item with a fixed chance of winning it throughout the entirety of the event.Įven if the daily you want only shows up once in 21 days, not even with shuffle, it'll be:Ģ1 dailies x 2 (due to shuffle) = 42 dailies, 1 daily of 42 = 2,38% appearance. As those specific items likely have a similar amount of appearance individually as whatever anyone specifics wants. Maybe the idea was that noone was supposed to complain about a fragmented parlor car, because a parlor car is kinda crap anyways so what difference does it make if it's something you won't try for or fragments of something you won't try for - but it also has the problem that stray fragments will remain there for a full year, unable to even be antique dealered.Ĭlick to expand.First of all it's not like 80%. Reno kits get used sure, but noone really picks that as the special they're targeting - because they get them from many other sources and don't need them from events. If forge bowl went fragments as the introduction of the "new system", that might be more understandable.īut notably, the things they're fragmenting aren't even specials that are particularly prized. Click to expand.Christmas is a strange one to do it to though - considering it's not particularly high in specials awarded (assuming you're going for a single special, you might get ~10 - which has been "normal" balance for years the events that give "too much" give 20+)
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